Friday, October 9, 2020

#FCA Survey Shows 97% Disagreed With The Cryptocurrency Derivatives Ban



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One year before announcing the ban on crypto derivatives sale in the UK, an FCA-conducted survey concluded that 97% of participants were against the prohibition.


Before implementing the ban on cryptocurrency derivatives sales in the UK for retail investors, the FCA asked over 500 firms, trade bodies, and competent authorities on their opinion. Interestingly, the results decisively concluded that 97% of all participants didn’t agree with the prohibition.


97% Oppose The FCA Crypto Derivatives Ban


UK’s watchdog, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), initially proposed prohibiting the sale, marketing, and distribution to retail clients of cryptocurrency derivatives and exchange-traded notes (ETNs) in July 2019.


Shortly after, the regulator compiled a survey, which was released in October 2020. The study asked 527 participants from “firms, trade bodies, retail consumers, and EU national competent authorities (NCAs)” regarding their views on the matter.


The results quite clearly demonstrated that almost all respondents (97%) opposed the FCA’s proposal that digital asset derivatives and ETNs need to be prohibited for sale.


The majority argued that cryptocurrencies have intrinsic value because they are accepted as a means of payment for goods and services. They brought out household names such as Starbucks and Microsoft that allow Bitcoin payments through a service offered by Bakkt.


Furthermore, the participants asserted that retail clients are capable of assessing the value and risks of cryptocurrency derivatives, and the prohibition would be “disproportionate.” Instead, they suggested the FCA to use other measures to achieve its goal of protecting investors.


The FCA Proceeds With The Crypto Derivatives Ban

Despite the conclusive results from the survey, the UK regulator announced earlier this week that the ban will commence from January 6th, 2021. The 97% that opposed the FCA’s narratives were unable to make a difference, as the regulator concluded that “crypto-assets are opaque, complex, and unreliable as reference assets for investments for retail consumers.”


The FCA argued that the companies that receive Bitcoin as a means of payment convert the bitcoins into fiat currencies at the time of sale. Consequently, “fiat currencies remain the underlying medium of exchange” and “we don’t think that crypto-assets being exchanged for fiat currencies equates to intrinsic value.”


The report also broached the high volatility of cryptocurrencies as the main obstacle to serve as a legit payment method. The regulator believes that “lower volatility is necessary for them [digital assets] to be widely accepted for purchasing goods and services.”



#Here’s Why Hedgeye’s CEO Sold All His Bitcoin

 

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Keith McCullough, CEO of a large risk management firm, explains why he’s sold off all his Bitcoin. And why it’s your fault if you don’t agree with him.


In brief

Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough has sold his Bitcoin.

This is because the crypto market is decelerating, he says.


But he'll buy again if it picks back up.


This week, Keith McCullough, CEO of risk management firm Hedgeye sold off all of his Bitcoin. Today, he explained why. “It’s not personal,” he said in a blog post. It’s just “RoC Empirics.” Duh! (RoC means return on capital. Empirics mean math).


He said it’s a combination of...who knows. McCullough’s answer as to why he claims to have sold his Bitcoin—how much is unclear—is difficult to parse and appears as vague as any YouTube crypto trader who searches for “Bart Simpson haircuts” and “Golden Triangles” in price charts.


(McCullough’s firm, however, claims to advise risk managers with over $1 trillion of assets under management. It is unclear in what capacity and whether this simply refers to subscribers of his newsletter.)



But here’s a rough translation. He says he sold his Bitcoin for a combinations of “A bearish @Hedgeye TRADE breakdown” and “Rising probability of #Quad4 in Q4.” A breakdown is an explanation and Quad4 is a term invented by Hedgeye. It means that economic growth and inflation are slowing down. Quad4 is bad, and Bitcoin’s price is Quad 4. 



This “makes it an easy A/B Tested decision,” or a decision, “to sell some, then sell all.” He says, “Other than Hedgeye Equity, my Real Estate, Wine, and Venture Capital investments, I am not a buy-and-HODLer.” This means that apart from the things Mccullough holds onto, McCullough doesn’t hold onto things. And Bitcoin isn’t on the list. 


McCullough continues, “If that empirical fact or my decision to de-gross and/or sell affects you emotionally, you should really consider why that’s happening to you. When I sell something for a big gain, the only feeling I have is that I am going to pay taxes.” This means that if McCullough has upset you, it’s your fault and he’s rich and doesn’t care. 



Then, “if Gold and Bitcoin continue to correct in price (they’re already in motion on that since I made my sales), there are no rules in my Full Cycle Investing accounts that say I can’t buy them back.” This means that if Bitcoin’s price increases, McCullough will buy it again.


Of course, only “when my dynamic rate-of-change model signals to do so in the right Quad.” We have no idea what this means, but it all sounds exciting. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s price shot up by 3% today and is close to breaking $11,000 per coin again.



#Bitcoin Price Breaks $11,000 After Square's Huge Endorsement

 


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The price of Bitcoin has shot up since Square announced it was investing heavily into Bitcoin. It has now broken back above the $11,000 mark.



The price of Bitcoin has broken past the $11,000 mark just a day after payments company Square revealed it had bought $50 million of the digital currency. Its current price is $11,030, at time of writing.



Bitcoin is now up four percent in the last day, and its sudden rise is pushing the market up. Most cryptocurrencies in the top 100 have turned positive today, with some seeing even greater gains. The price of Chainlink (LINK) is back at $10, up 18% in the last day, while Polkadot (DOT) is now at $4.17, up 13% today.



The momentum kicked off yesterday when Square announced that it had invested one perecnt of its assets into Bitcoin. When the news was announced, the price of Bitcoin initially rose $100, before rising even higher—towards $10,900—later in the day.



"We view bitcoin as an instrument of global economic empowerment; it is a way for individuals around the world to participate in a global monetary system and secure their own financial future," Square said, in its Bitcoin investment whitepaper.



As a result of the recent push, Bitcoin's market cap has retaken the $200 billion mark. It currently sits at $203 billion.




Despite the positive news, Bitcoin's daily trading volumes haven't seen much of a spike. While volumes have risen back up from $17 billion on October 3 to $22 billion yesterday—they're still tiny compared to September volumes as high as $54 billion.